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There are a number of factors that have contributed to the City’s growing and unsustainable retirement costs:
1. Retirement Benefits Have Been Continually Enhanced
The City Council - and in some cases, outside arbitrators – have enhanced pension benefits numerous times over the past two decades. Among these fiscally irresponsible actions:
- The maximum pension benefit for San José police officers and firefighters was increased multiple times: first to 80%, then to 85%, and finally to 90% of compensation.
- The cost of living adjustment (COLA) was changed to a guaranteed 3% annual adjustment.
- The definition of Final Compensation for the Federated Plan (non-sworn employees) was changed from highest 3-year average to highest 12 consecutive months.
Even worse, some of the above enhancements were made retroactively. This is what happened when police officers (in 2006) and firefighters (in 2008, via outside arbitration) were awarded a maximum pension benefit equaling 90% of final compensation. These retroactive increases immediately added more than $70 million in unfunded liabilities that the City has been obligated to pay.
- Scroll over or click on the above image to enlarge.
Overall, retirees are receiving significantly larger pension payments today than they did 20 years ago. Even after adjusting for inflation, the average annual pension benefit has increased by:
- 75% for Police and Fire retirees.
- 54% for Federated retirees.
Furthermore, total annual pension benefit payments from the retirement funds have grown seven-fold over the past 20 years (see chart to right).
2. Employees Are Living Longer and Retiring Earlier.
The average life expectancy continues to rise (currently 78 years in the U.S.) and more individuals are opting to retire at an early age. This means that retirees are collecting benefits for a longer period of time. In fact:
- The average retiree in the Police and Fire plan receives a pension benefit for 21 years.
- The average retiree in the Federated plan receives a pension benefit for 18 years.
In addition, the overall number of retirees receiving benefits is now 2½ times greater than 20 years ago.
These changing demographic factors have had a significant impact on the cost of providing the City's retirement benefits. It has also meant that past actuarial assumptions (i.e. those based on a lower life expectancy) haven’t held true, resulting in new unfunded liabilities.
3. Investment Gains Have Not Kept Up with Projections
Any time that retirement fund investments fall short of their projected returns, a new unfunded liability is created. Most recently, investment losses between 2007 and 2009 created a $978.8 million unfunded liability.
However, the retirement funds were experiencing gaps between projections and actual returns long before the current economic downturn. That’s because, over the past 30 years, the retirement systems have assumed an unrealistic rate of return - typically between 8.0% and 8.25% annually - that has outpaced its actual investment earnings (note: the retirement boards have recently begun using a more realistic rate of return).
Paying off these unfunded liabilities drives up retirement costs in future years. And because the City is responsible for 100% of the plans' unfunded liabilities, the burden falls completely on the taxpayers.
Source: City Auditor's Report on Pension Sustainability 
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